The 89% Anomaly: When Prediction Markets Price Peace While Headlines Scream War
Hook A single number sits on Polymarket’s settlement ledger: 89%. It represen...
Culture
•
PowerPrime
•
2026-07-17
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$64,169.8
-1.52%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,860.84
-1.16%
SOL
Solana
$73.88
-3.02%
BNB
BNB Chain
$564.9
-0.51%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.09
-1.67%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0695
+0.14%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1641
-2.96%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.29
-0.13%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8076
-1.15%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.34
-1.73%
Event Calendar
202630
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Tools
All →Popular Categories
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,169.8 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,860.84 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$73.88 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$564.9 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0695 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1641 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.29 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8076 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.34 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x2c55...4bfc
1d ago
In
14,306 BNB
🔴
0xb055...bf17
1h ago
Out
30.60 BTC
🟢
0xb2d0...2720
3h ago
In
4,338.63 BTC
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Technology
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28
Fear
Market Sentiment
Tag Cloud
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
💡 Smart Money
0x79b3...dcf5
Early Investor
+$4.5M
73%
0x9384...3f6d
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$0.3M
94%
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Experienced On-chain Trader
+$1.8M
68%